GDT::Stocks::Stuffer::Archive::Year 2011

Stocks::Stuffer

... DJIA 12218; SandP500 1257; Nasdaq 2605 ...
The GDT::Portfolio had a tough 02011. I could spend hours writing about the year that is ending today (02011.12.31), but I won't. Instead, I will spend some time studying the GDT::Portfolio to review how is it positioned to prosper some time within the next decade. I think it's possible we'll have exa-scale computing by 02018.

02011 data: DJIA up 5.53%; S&P 500 up 0.00318%; NASDAQ down 1.8%; Russell 2000 down 5.45%.

The GDT::Portfolio is a heavily weighted NASDAQ/Russell 2000 collection of investment seeds (i.e. stocks).

The GDT::Portfolio rankings starting year 02012.

   iRobot #1, Google #2, Geeknet #3, Cray #4, Yahoo! #5, Red Hat #6, 
   Bruker #7, Illumina #8, Hanger Orthopedic #9, Nanosphere #10, 
   LookSmart #11, Stewart Enterprises #12, Level 3 Communications #13, 
   Trimble Navigation #14, US Airways #15, Amazon.com #16, 
   Aastrom Biosciences #17, NeuroMetrix #18, Spire #19, Comcast #20, 
   Kratos Defense & Security Solutions #21, iParty #22, 
   Capstone Therapeutics #23, Altair Nanotechnologies #24, 
   AT&T #25, Mace Security Intl. #26, Digital Angel #27, 
   Axion Power Intl. #28, StemCells #29, Alcatel-Lucent #30, 
   Isotechnika #31, Adamis Pharmaceutical #32.

Entering 02012 Tier 1 Stocks

iRobot (IRBT) at #1 is a bit bothersome because our Roomba robotic vacuum isn't doing its job. I am hoping to never sell another IRBT share for under $40.

Google (GOOG) at #2 is--in a nutshell--exciting. To me Google as a 21st century Informatics company. GOOG ended 02011 at $645.90. My 1st GOOG target price is $1,869.37.

Geeknet (GKNT) at #3 is a major frustration and it should be starting 02012 at #1. GKNT ended 02011 at $17.05 and my 1st target price is $30.94.

Cray (CRAY) at #4 is a super risky supercomputing investment seed. Cray is helping enable exa-scale computing by the end of the current decade. The GDT::Portfolio got hit hard when SGI (my other supercomputing seed) died. I'm CRAzY about CRAY. CRAY ended 02011 at $6.47. PSR is at 0.64 and I can see it at 1.92, which puts CRAY at $19.41. I add a few cents to make the 1st target price $19.57.

Yahoo! (YHOO) at #5 is pure frustration. Yahoo! has a great web brand. Yahoo! should not be in the top 10. There is a chance that YHOO will exit the GDT::Portfolio during 02012. YHOO ended 02011 at $16.13 down 3% for the year. To me YHOO is a $52 stock.

Red Hat (RHT) at #6 should not be in the top 10. 02011 was a growth year for Red Hat, yet RHT was down 9.6% for the year. I am hoping to continue to be a long-term investor in Red Hat because it is a FLOSS company. FLOSS is the acronym I use when referencing Free/Libre Open Source Software. RHT ended 02011 at $41.29. Next target price is $67.48.

Bruker (BRKR) at #7 is nice. Bruker makes instrumentation that enables scientists and researchers to see the very, very, very small. I sold some BRKR at $18.07 and $21.45 during 02011. BRKR ended 02011 at $12.42.

Illumina (ILMN) at #8 is strange because it probably should be #1. It's as if we made a quick exit out of the Genomics Age. Illumina lost 52% of the its market value during 02011. I'd be extremely happy if I never sold another ILMN share.

Hanger Orthopedic (HGR) at #9 means the GDT::Portfolio is struggling. If only I could find some more Hanger Orthopedics...

Nanosphere (NSPH) at #10 is highly speculative and investors bailed ship during 02011. If NSPH could break into the top 5, then it would probably mean the GDT::Portfolio as a whole is doing well.

The following stocks should stay in the 1st tier, but be moved as follows: GKNT from #3 to #1; IRBT from #1 to #2; GOOG from #2 to #3; ILMN from #8 to #4; CRAY from #4 to #5; NSPH from #10 to #6; BRKR stays at #7.

Hanger Orthopedics moves from 1st tier to 2nd tier (#9 to #19). Red Hat (RHT) moves from the 1st tier to the 3rd tier (#6 to #24). YHOO is liquidated. The following stocks move from 2nd tier into 1st tier: LVLT #8; SPIR #9 and ASTM #10.

Entering 02012 Tier 2 Stocks

LookSmart (LOOK) at #11 and that is a signal that the GDT::Portfolio had a tough 02011.

Stewart Enterprises (STEI) at #12 is fun because this one of the future low-tech stocks in the GDT::Portfolio. STEI should be a 3rd tier stock.

Level 3 Communications (LVLT) is at #13, but it should be a top 10 holding.

Trimble Navigation (TRMB) is at #14. There have been numerous times when I've considered liquidating our TRMB holdings, but I just can't do it.

US Airways (LCC) is at #15 and that's after the stock lost almost 50% of its value during 02011. LCC ended 02011 at $5.07. LCC needs to a third tier GDT::Portfolio stock.

Amazon.com (AMZN) is at #16, but it should be a third tier GDT::Portfolio stock. The plan is to never sell another AMZN share.

Aastrom Biosciences (ASTM) is at #17, but it should be at least #10. ASTM ended 02011 at $1.82, but my average cost per share is $2.67. Huge bummer.

NeuroMetrix (NURO) is at #18. I added to our NURO holdings yesterday (02011.11.30); therefore, I must feel as though the stock is worth buying and holding.

Spire (SPIR) at #19 is a major disappointment. SPIR ended 02010 at #10 and it needs to return to that position. SPIR ended 02011 at $0.63. Yes! It's a penny stock much to my chagrin.

Comcast (CMCSA) is at #20, but this stock should be a third tier GDT::Portfolio stock.

The following 2nd tier stocks need to move to the 3rd tier: STEI (#12 to #22), LCC (#15 to #26), AMZN (#16 to #28), CMCSA (#20 to #27) and TRMB (#14 to #21).

The following 2nd tier stocks need to move to the 1st tier: LVLT (#13 to #8), SPIR (#19 to #9) and ASTM (#17 to #10).

The following 2nd tier stocks should stay in the 2nd tier, but LOOK at #11 and NURO at #18 should swap positions.

Entering 02012 Tier 3 Stocks

The following need to move from 3rd tier to 2nd tier: Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (#21 to #14); iParty (#22 to #17); Capstone Therapeutics (#23 to #16); Altair Nanotechnologies (#24 to #12); Mace Security Intl. (#26 to #15); StemCells (#29 to #13).

The following stay 3rd tier holdings: Isotechnika (#31 to #25); AT&T (#25 to #29); Axion Power Intl. (#28 to #20); Alcatel-Lucent (#30 to #23).

Red Hat moves from 1st to 3rd tier at #24. Amazon.com moves from 2nd tier to 3rd tier at #28. Concast is #27.

The following 3rd tier stocks are liquidated: Digital Angel #27 and Adamis Pharmaceutical #32.

The following is how the GDT::Portfolio should look at the end of 02012.

   Geeknet #1, iRobot #2, Google #3, Illumina #4, Cray #5, 
   Nanosphere #6, Bruker #7, Level 3 Communications #8, Spire #9, 
   Aastrom Biosciences #10, NeuroMetrix #11, Altair Nanotechnologies #12, 
   StemCells #13, Kratos #14, Mace Security #15, Capstone Therapeutics #16, 
   iParty #17, LookSmart #18, Hanger Orthopedic #19, Axion Power #20, 
   Trimble Navigation #21, Stewart Enterprises #22, Alcatel-Lucent #23, 
   Red Hat #24, Isotechnika #25, US Airways #26, Comcast #27, 
   Amazon.com #28, AT&T #29

[31 December 2011, top]

... DJIA 12294; SandP500 1265; Nasdaq 2619 ...